At the end of the 11th of march, 2026, the derivatives of the energy recorded a high of more than 4%, and directly influences the brazilian financial market. The rate of Interbank Deposit rate (DI) January 2027 rose 13,549% to 13,71%, while the contracts for January, 2029 January, 2031 went on to 13.2 per cent, and 13,495%, respectively..
The increase in the rates of short-and medium of the yield curve reflects the volatility in the price of oil, which has suffered an impact, due to the recent developments in the Middle East. On the same day, the International Energy Agency (IEA) said in a release record of barrels of oil from strategic reserves to try to contain the high overall. Among the events that put pressure on the market, and stand out in the attack carried out by Tehran against the ship in the Strait of Hormuz, in addition to the prospect of at least another two weeks of a conflict involving Israel and the United States of america.
Police also spoke out on the stage. President Donald Trump has said that the conflict in the Middle East will end when he chooses to, but the members of the government of israel has indicated that it does not expect an imminent end to the hostilities. In this framework, the economists point out that the increase in the vertices of short-and intermediate-curve relating the effects of oil on inflation and monetary policy in brazil.
At the same session, as the market has adjusted their bet, to the policy of the Central Bank, with the likelihood of a reduction of 25 basis points in the Interest fell from 65% to 55%. On the other hand, the chance of a cut of 50 basis points increased from 35 per cent to 45 per cent. Data on the household, such as a high of 0.4% increase in retail sales to a restricted between the months of December and January, they were in the background in the face of international concern. The Monetary Policy Committee (Copom) of the Central Bank to assess the impact of the external environment in determining the rate of Interest, expected to be announced in a week or so after the 11th of march.
Wallace Tavares is the Editor-in-Chief of Portal Invest and is responsible for editorial review and the quality of content covering the economy, markets and technology.
